Bayesian Fuzzy Spatial Prediction

Abstract

The spatial prediction of an unknown quantity at a specific site is one of the most important topics in the fuzzy spatial analysis. Under the assumption that covariance is known, optimal prediction and mean square error of predictor are determinable by using fuzzy kriging methods. When the parameters of the parametric covariance function are unknown, their estimates are usually replaced in optimal prediction as real values. But, determination of this predictor and its mean square error are usually difficult. Therefore, to solve this problem, in this paper the Bayesian approach is used to extend the fuzzy kriging to a new method, namely Bayesian fuzzy kriging. Then, in an applied example, its accuracy is compared with other spatial predictors.

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